after the rain

Today is July 29, 2021, which is:

So yeah, a lot on my mind.

I remain in disbelief that over 100,000 of you have read my “disgrace” post. I honestly did not think anyone would care. My “shoe fits” covers much of the same ground with fewer words and fewer names. My name is on both. Basically, no one cared then. So why three years later?

More people acted like they cared in 2020 than 2017 . Among leaders, the caring was not to “change the profession.” It was a that’s “not me” and feigned outrage. It’s too soon for “disgrace” to move the needle. It probably won’t.

No one in my “disgrace” post was held accountable, except for me. Within three days, I was told to leave my job at a progressive think tank, led then by a woman who’s now a top economics official in the White House. She worked with Larry Summers on the campaign. Larry didn’t like my post. I doubt powerful donors and people like her who fear him liked it. I told you economics has a systemic problem. Proved me right.

Who did care? Students, who are our next generation, and people marginalized in economics, whose cruel treatment costs us dearly. See out-of-touch, cruel policy advice during the COVID-19 crisis and the sea of White men leading that charge.

During the past year, I’ve received hundreds of heartfelt notes emails, DMs, texts, phone calls, etc. from the people who did care, often thanking me for my “bravery.” I was not brave. I was angry. And I truly cherish every person who cared. They’re why I wrote my post, and why I push economics to be better.

I put my credibility on the line and was privileged to have enough to do it. For god sake’s, John Taylor and I are the only two people who have a “Rule” in economic policy. I got mine two years ago and at a much younger age. I’m not done.

It’s not all sunshine and roses. I did burn through an incredible amount of credibility. Most depressing was this year. I was publicly critical of Larry Summers and Raj Chetty’s economic policy advice. I was told sternly that I should’ve done it in private. I shouldn’t have named names. Ugh. Raj’s advice would’ve cost 50 million women, men, and children a $1,400 stimulus check and Larry’s the entire $2 trillion Rescue Plan. I did my job as policy expert. I was punished for it by the elites. Economics is a disgrace. I am not surprised. I am sad.

Good economics and compassion won the day. The $1,400 checks went out, and Congress did not heed Raj’s advice. I collected more data and showed that in a research policy brief that the checks worked. The $2 trillion Rescue Plan passed. In total, Congress enacted $5 trillion in economic relief within a year. In the Great Recession, it was less than $1 trillion. Larry won that policy debate. Not this time. Praise the lord.

The policies enacted were not perfect, and we must do better next time. Even so, I’m in shock and often cry tears of joy when I reflect on how much better policymakers did this time.

I have yet to watch Jay Powell speak during this crisis without getting emotional. Started crying again yesterday at the Fed presser. I did not sleep until CARES passed the Senate in the middle of the night. How could I? Millions of Americans were having sleepless night and millions more would soon.

It’s personal. My breakdown at the Fed in 2011 was caused, in large part, by the stress of watching policymakers step away, even as the recovery dragged on. I did not know it at the time, but the stress triggered my one (and only) manic episode. It was scary. Now, I had been severely depressed every winter after I started at the Fed in 2007 until my diagnosis with a bipolar disorder in 2011. Sucked for me and my family. But, when I am depressed, I am a danger only to myself not others. When I am manic, I say and do things that hurt others. To me, that’s worse.

One thing mania did not change was my goofiness. In the emergency room, I slept for the first time in months. In the morning, they sent me to the mental health office. I didn’t make sense, so the woman on duty gave me a piece of paper and told me to write a letter to someone. I wrote it to Ben Bernanke. She had me tear it up and throw it in the trash before I left. It makes me laugh now. Like Ben would have cared or even understood it. It’s not an accident that he and Janet Yellen were who I wrote the “disgrace” post for. It was never meant to be a public post. I wanted them, as leaders in economics, to do something. They told me they could not. Duh, it was goofy of me to expect them to. Goofy is good. If you’re not laughing your crying.

I love economics dearly. I work extremely hard at good economic policy, even though I much of it is volunteer work now. I have been blessed by many new opportunities this year. I have been blessed by all the support. I have absolutely nothing to complain about. Actions and words have consequences. It was messy and I made mistakes, but I have no regrets.

In policy and in life, we must never let the perfect be the enemy of the good. And we must not pretend the good is the perfect. We can always do better. Policymakers did better this time. I did better too. I stayed healthy. I spoke my truth, and I created space for others to speak theirs. That’s how change happens.

Stay safe.

Ways to create a healthy environment for economists

Economics must help all economists to thrive. We have work to do. I know from countless hours of mentoring. Many of their experiences break my heart and make me angry. I love economics and it hurt to call it out as a disgrace. But that hurt is nothing compared to the hurt that comes to me. The hurt inflicted on me after my post is nothing compared to the hurt that comes to me.

Problems require solutions. Big problems require big solutions. I have demanded for years that leadership in the American Economics Association lead. Ask Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen, Peter Rosseau, David Card, and anyone on the Executive Committee about my push in private and public. I am not alone. The list is long of other economists dedicating their time and putting their reputations on the line for others suffering. It’s time for all of us to lead.

It’s your turn. Do something. Anything. Make the economics profession a better place. It’s good for the science. It’s good for people. It’s good for you. Push yourself to act. Push your institution to act. No more excuses.

I have many ideas on how to make economics better. Here is a talk I give on how to create a healthy, inclusive work environment. Send me questions or comments; add more resources or ideas in the comments; and use any material here. I am happy to speak with your group whether it’s an academic department, a government agency, think tank, research institute, or any other work place. We must stop hurting people. We must start supporting everyone.

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More Resources

Economics is a disgrace

Today, September 7, 2022, I updated my “disgrace post. I have redacted all the names of the senior economists and some details. I stand by every word of the original post, but it’s as powerful, maybe even more so, without the names. I have also corrected some grammatical errors and unclear writing.

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This post is a personal one. It is a painful one.

It is largely the same as the reflections that I sent to Janet Yellen, Ben Bernanke, and Peter Rosseau. I have redacted many names, except for public interactions or my correspondence.

Everyone who is privileged enough to hold a Ph.D. in economics should reflect on our toxic culture. Before you start, read the American Economics Association (AEA)  code of professional conduct and policy on harassment and discrimination.

Students, please understand that I and many others are working to make your journey better than ours. Economics is hard enough without others who demean you. I love the energy of youth; however, you need allies. We all do.

Thankfully, I am healthy now due to my hard work in managing my bipolar disorder and the loved ones who carry me when I struggle.

Burn it down: economics failed us.

Economics is a disgrace. The lack of diversity and inclusion degrades our knowledge and policy advice. We hurt economists from undergraduate classrooms to offices at the White House. We drive away talent, mistreat those who stay and tolerate bad behavior.

Some experiences I share may seem innocuous. Taken together, they demonstrate a systemic problem. Ones that economists refuse to tackle. We blame bad behavior on victims. I was blamed. We tell them to toughen up. I was and did. We say the harasser is a good economist and imply the victim is not. He was supposedly better than me or you. He is not.

I chose to name the senior men economists [all redacted now] who hurt me and others. They are well-respected. You know them. By doing nothing, you allow them to hurt people. You allow them to teach bad behavior to the next generation. I did too. I blame myself and did not speak up. I am sorry, and that is why I am sharing now. I am not filing a formal complaint. I am sharing. After more than a decade as a macroeconomist, I am fine. You know me. It is painful to share a part of me you did not know. It is painful to revisit. I do not name names to tar and feather. I do it to make our problem concrete.

I mentor many people. They come to me as an ally, as someone who will listen. I do. Some conversations are happy, and people are looking for advice on being an economist. Some conversations are sad; people dealing with painful experiences in economics. Some get better. Some do not. Last year a Black woman undergrad asked me how to get from her satellite-school state university to a Ph.D. program in economics. We talked, and I gave her advice. I emailed her a few months later to see what she had decided.  Her brother replied that his sister had killed herself. She will not be an economist. Others became economists then we drove them away. The tenure of a Native American woman economist was revoked after her men colleagues turned on her. I talk with her regularly. We discuss how she could return to academia after she is healthy again. Do you know how many Native American women are economists? Very few. Do you know how many Black economists work at the Fed? One out of 406. Economics is a disgrace.

The indignities are astounding. The new woman economist at the Board was asked by the men colleagues at lunch . Her husband is an economist I know well. An officer sabotaged her work . [Redacted.] I have talked with the woman and her husband several times. Broke my heart. Her tormentor is good friends with mine. I thought it was me. It was not me. It was them, and they have not stopped. I told her she would get better. I did. No one told me that in 2011 when I broke. I was told that I was not the first woman he targeted. No one told me I could report him. Both tormentors are senior officers at the Board, instrumental to monetary policy decisions. Neither said they were sorry.

Or how about the Southeast Asian research assistant, who I met once? He called me hyperventilating as he told me about his abusive work environment. After I hung up, I closed my door and sat in my office sobbing. Economists messed him up. I coached him on how to leave his job and find a new one. He did.

Finally, the woman economics major at Chicago went to office hours. She sat on the floor since the room was crowded. Someone offered her a chair. She said she was fine sitting on the floor. The professor looked at her and said, “I see you like it on your knees; women do.” He did not apologize to her though he did have to apologize for telling a sexually explicit joke at commencement. He continues to teach undergraduates. Economics breaks people, and it is broken. I am angry. You should be too.

I mainly share my experiences here. I am not special. Many have similar experiences, in some cases worse. I have written documents to back these incidents up. These records are awful to have in my email inbox, Twitter notifications and DMs, and text messages. Do not tell me; good men are economists too. I do not care. You did not protect the victims. You did not protect me. You had to know something was wrong, and you did nothing. I spend considerable time picking up the pieces of people we break. It is not fair. It is wrong what we do.

Economics destroys its students

  • We discourage undergraduates, women, and men from studying economics. The AEA’s first climate survey of economics clearly shows our toxic profession, especially among under-represented groups. The AEA should commission surveys of undergraduates, research assistants, and predoctoral and postdoctoral students. Harassment begins in undergraduate classrooms and often does not stop unless you leave economics.
  • We do not nurture the next generation. Many graduate students and economists have mental health issues. Research at Harvard found notably higher rates of depression and anxiety among economics Ph.D. students than other Ph.D. students and the general population. Departments often do send students to campus health resources. The faculty place unrealistic expectations on the students. They are aggressive in private and in public settings. Many do not mentor, even after they have agreed to be their advisors. Faculty suffer too. Leading economists Alan Krueger, Marty Weitzman, Bill Sandholm, and Emmanuel Farhi all killed themselves recently. Rest in peace.
  • For several years, I have reviewed dozens of macro job market papers of Ph.D. students each year.  I read their abstracts, introductions, and tables and charts. I worked with students from MIT to India to Stockholm to Santa Barbara, and everywhere in between.  All their papers were technically impressive. They also benefited from communication tips. I tried to help.  They worked hard on every aspect of their research, including writing.  They thanked me, and many said it added to the support from their professors. Some replies suggested I got we must do more for our students, such as:
    • ‘You are the first person to read any part of my job market paper.”
    • “I finally understand my paper.”
    • “Our department does not teach us how to write.”
  • Many advisors and departments, including these candidates, are extremely supportive. Unfortunately, some are not. I got encouragement at Michigan. Some did not. I know too many graduate students who economists hurt. We must do better. Absolutely must. I will do better too.
  • After I saw some common issues, I wrote a blog post on writing for all job market candidates. It is my most-read post by far. [Here is an updated version with a video.] I was surprised. My advisor, Matthew Shapiro, taught me how to write research papers. Many advisors do not. Some do. I blogged each of the students’ revised papers. I cheered them on during the job market. After one such email,  a woman candidate thanked me. My email came after an exhausting flyout in the middle of an exhausting week of flyouts. None of these students were my responsibility. I was a section chief, managing five economists and three research assistants. We can all do more.

Predators target research assistants, graduate students, and early-career economists

  • Research assistants and pre-doctoral fellows are particularly vulnerable. Many are considering a career in economics; however, they do know the culture of economics. They have not chosen to navigate our aggressive norms. The explosion of pre-doctoral programs at universities is a looming disaster. [In many cases, it already is.] Basically, no economists who supervise these young adults have management training. In contrast, the Board now sends every group manager and section chief to a months-long training. Training does not avoid all bad behavior; no training is worse.
  • The Board is now recruiting research assistants from under-represented minorities. Sadly, Black and Latinx research assistants vastly outnumber the Ph.D. economists of color on staff. All research assistants have the least power at work, regardless of their background. Too often have bad experiences. One afternoon, a Black woman research assistant at the Board delivered memos to a White officer. The officer thanked her, using the name of another Black woman research assistant. She corrected her. Six weeks later, the officer made the same mistake. The research assistant gave up and asked one of the White research assistants to deliver memos to that officer.
  • Two research assistants, a Black Latinx woman and a Latinx man, designed the first Research Assistant Survey at the Board. I saw the first drafts as someone who designs surveys. I could see from the start that the results would be uncomfortable. The discomfort of economists should not outweigh but often does, the discomfort they cause. One striking finding: research assistants were reluctant to offer critical feedback because they were worried that, as a result, they would not get a good recommendation for graduate school. Power dynamics are real, and early career scholars do not have power. I was in the meeting where they presented the results to the officers and section chiefs. Not surprisingly, the men in the room tried to explain the uncomfortable findings away. It was not them.; it was not their division; it was not their section. Bullshit. I basically said so in the meeting. Note that the woman is not doing a Ph.D. in economics. After seeing what economists are like, few Black women research assistants from the Board have. It breaks my heart. We do not deserve them. Diversity without inclusion is cruel.
  • My experiences and those of others taught me that new economists are also vulnerable. They are easy to harass and intimate. They have the least power among economists, do not know what is acceptable, and often have impostor syndrome. I know. From 2008 to 2011, one man economist in private and in front of others demeaned my expertise. In 2008, I did not go to my commencement because he had convinced me I did not deserve my Ph.D. I got the top rating in my performance review in 2008. I now know it is extremely rare for a first-year economist to get top marks. I did deserve my Ph.D. The harassment did not stop. He and a buddy supervised me on a ‘Literature Conversation with the Chairman’ in May 2011 on household leverage. I was thrilled to present to then-Chair Ben Bernanke and other Fed Governors. The supervisor on the project came to my office and told me, “The Chairman does not want to hear about your research. He wants to hear about research that is going to a top journal.” That hurt. I presented Mian and Sufi. After difficult weeks of preparation, I enjoyed the meeting with Bernanke, Yellen, and Tarullo. As soon as I left the library, I was scolded for not sticking to the research. I talked too much about policy. Nearly all the women I know at the Board have had their expertise and accomplishments devalued by a colleague at some point. I am not special.
  • I was under intense stress as a new economist. I started right before the Great Recession and was one of the lead economists on consumer spending. I did my job well, but a few senior officers often told me that I “did not know what I was doing.” The Great Recession and slow recovery were difficult to analyze and painful to watch as people out in the real world suffered. I now know that excessive stress triggers my bipolar episodes. I did not know then about my condition. I had several depression episodes from 2008 to 2011 and one manic episode in 2011. So, every winter during those early years at the Board, I was depressed. [Redacted.] I always did my work but could hardly get out of bed in the winter except to go to work. Then in 2011, I cycled from depression to mania. From April to August, I slept at most four hours at night and became increasingly irritable. I was not myself. I did not know what was wrong. It was a painful time at home and at work.
  • I imploded on the Friday before the August 2011 FOMC meeting. I gave a trusted officer a list of everything that had been said or done to me since I started at the Board. He told me some of it was wrong and to go home and rest. That is the only forecast memo I did not finish. Instead, I went to the emergency room and slept for the first time in months. I sent a humiliating email to the ‘good men’ economists in my life. I remain embarrassed by my weird email. My advisor called my ally that night and asked, “what did you [the Fed] do to her?” My Board ally gets credit for me keeping my job. [He disagrees that my job was ever at risk. I felt like it might be.] But even he did not tell me to go to Employee Relations, the professional mediators at the Board. I went to another officer in administration on a forecast-related episode with these same two men. She said it was better they questioned my judgment in private than in a forecast meeting. I disagreed. In a meeting, I would have had backup. I stopped going to people. It was always my fault [implicitly]. It was always explained away.
  • My ally, who had a reporting requirement, did not tell me that I could file an EEOC complaint for harassment. As a section chief, I did not know until 2018 that we had Employee Relations at the Board. I could have gotten help. I could have filed an EEOC complaint. My ally ensured I never worked for that man on a project again.  I said I would quit if I did. [Redacted.] I spent years in therapy and took loads of medication. [Redacted.]. My tormentor is now a very high-ranking officer. I left the Fed.

Elites punch down and attack those with opinions different than theirs

  • Elite departments are the gatekeepers of the economics profession. They circle wagons around other elites. MIT, Harvard, and Chicago define what is “good” research. They run two of the top five journals that many elite departments require for tenure. They decide what is cutting-edge economics. They decide who gets the top honors in the profession. Research on race and gender and work using feminist or alternate frameworks has been rejected for decades. The gatekeepers pass leadership to their students at elite universities. Many MIT and Harvard students are automatic members of the National Bureau of Economic Research. Economists outside elite circles are not seen as scholars. They are not voted in as members of the NBER; they are not invited to give seminars at elite departments and are not part of the American Economics Association’s leadership. A handful of departments run economics. They maintain an exclusive culture.
  • Hostile attacks from senior economists on junior economists are common, often in seminars and other public settings. As one personal example, in May 2015, on Twitter, AAAA a Nobel Laureate, was talking with BBBB [a friend] about the effects of the Making Work Pay tax credit on consumer spending. I sent BBBB my paper with Matthew Shapiro and Joel Slemrod. We find that the 2009-10 tax credit, which was partly based on AAAA’s earlier research, was less effective than the 2008 tax rebates. I shared the link to the FEDS working paper version. AAAA’s public tweet replied, “there is a reason that paper was never published. Badly flawed. Asked people to remember what they did with the money. Huh?”  He was the AEA President at the time. I replied politely, “actually, it was published in AEJ: Economic Policy, thanks!” Then he said, “ok, one for your side. I have not seen the published version.” So much for an open exchange of ideas. Our hyper-competitive field allows point scoring over the scientific inquiry.
  • In another episode, when AAAA derided research by Andrew Chang, an Asian man economist at the Board, and his co-author Phillip Li. In their paper, “Is Economics Research Replicable? Sixty Published Papers from Thirteen Journals Say, ‘Often No.’” they tried to replicate results in 67 papers published in 13 well-regarded economics journals using author-provided files. They could replicate the main result in only one-third of the papers without the authors’ help and only half with their help.  AAAA disagreed vehemently with their results. On Twitter, AAAA said to CCCC, “that paper’s title is highly misleading. No significant errors [in the published papers] were found. Like saying Federer’s serve is hard to replicate.” What? The authors and several Board research assistants had devoted hundreds of hours to their study. There were errors that fundamentally changed the results. AAAA’s public tweet was rude. No surprise, their paper was desk rejected at the American Economic Review and not published in any journal in their study. Early-career economists often suffer retaliation when they question top economists.
  • The attacks on my economic expertise continue now. Every year at least one senior man has disparaged my expertise to my face or in writing to me. Every year! After Kate Davidson at the Wall Street Journal wrote a piece on the Sahm rule, I received an email from DDDD, the former Fed official who I had never met or spoken to before. He sent me a screenshot of a Goldman Sachs newsletter in 2001 with a recession indicator. The subtext [as I interpreted it and peers I showed it to] was I did not deserve the Sahm rule. The Sahm rule is in FRED, Haver, and Bloomberg terminals. It was my last week at the Board when he emailed me. Not only did I have a man again suggesting [in my opinion] that I did not deserve my accomplishments. The indicator in the newsletter was the Board’s internal rule of thumb and is not as accurate as my indicator. After my Sahm rule first got attention, a man from the Ohio state government contacted me and said they were thinking about using my rule to kick on enhanced food stamp benefits in a recession. If a recession indicator were widely known, if everyone got that Goldman Sachs newsletter, no one would have cared about the Sahm rule. They do care. It is now in several legislative proposals for automatic stabilizers. If I had listened to all the men like DDDD during my career, the Sahm rule would not exist. I would not be an economist now. My roadblocks are not special. [I had a good conversation with DDDD after this post. He did not intend for me to interpret his email as devaluing my contribution. We also discussed power dynamics and how he, in my opinion, had more than I did in the profession.]

Economists discourage economists from under-represented groups

  • Economics has a race problem. Recent racist remarks from leading economists, such as EEEE, highlight the problem. On Twitter, he blamed the protesters for the riots after George Floyd’s murder. EEEE questioned their right to free assembly. When others pushed back on Twitter, he doubled down. FFFF came to his defense, quoting Martin Luther King Jr. I reminded FFFF that we [white people] killed him. FFFF, too, doubled down. A former Black student [Redacted] at Chicago shared that EEEE had made racist comments in class and moved his lecture to the Martin Luther King holiday. EEEE had passed it off as a joke. Another Black woman economist in a different cohort shared a similar experience with EEEE. The New York Times covered the incident. Research on racism is not published in the Journal of Political Economy, which is maybe unsurprising given that EEEE is its head editor. [He is no longer in that role.]
  • Both EEEE and FFFF also have a history of undermining women economists. As the head editor at the Journal of Political Economy,  EEEE is known for being an unfair editor, including third-round rejections of papers and questionable treatment of authors, including but not limited to women. FFFF harassed women for years while at [Redacted.]. Every Ph.D. student had to take his class. For example, he told one woman that she should leave economics. He made sexist remarks in class. The department tolerated his unprofessional behavior and celebrated his research. [Redacted.]
  • Top research on race and economics often perpetuates racist tropes. In an interview in April 2020, GGGG said,
    • “The progress of African Americans over the past century is staggering. Many have shaken off the legacies of poverty and discrimination. Those who deny that the American Dream is achievable ignore the myriad success stories and the mindset for personal growth that America offers.”
    • “The current research in the field is shoddy. It has gained traction because it appeals to the negative image of American society held by leading opinion makers like the New York Times and the Atlantic.”
  • Numerous economists pushed back on his claims on Twitter. They argued that Black people continue to face discrimination and economic barriers. He undercut research that disagrees with him on scientific merits and cultural policies. I wrote on Twitter that I disagree with GGGG’s comments but said he had the right to hold those views. I noted that he co-authored with people of color. [Redacted.] GGGG dismissed these facts and made racist remarks on other occasions. The person of color was offended but did not pursue the issue. Others reminded me that GGGG has published research for decades, promoting his narrow-minded view of racial and ethnic minorities. GGGG is a Nobel Laureate.
  • Professors casually make racist and sexist remarks to undergraduates. In addition to being disrespectful, it makes students less likely to pursue a career in economics. A recent undergraduate in economics at Penn told me how a senior professor repeatedly made such comments. One example was in an undergrad labor economics class. He could not remember the word for Native Americans. He called them “red Indians.”  The students were stunned and did not know what to say. He also made sexist comments to undergraduate women. He suggested that women students should get an MBA, not an econ Ph.D. He said it is hard for women to have kids and do economics. The man student, who witnessed these incidents, complained to the department and to the economics student association. No action was taken. He does not want to be an economist. Shocker.
  • Leaders often downplay the concerns of women and minority men economists. When economists in under-represented groups report an incident, they are often told they are being too sensitive or unreasonable. The leaders of the profession turn a blind eye to such reports. Often the profession awards economists esteemed positions without checking complaints. HHHH was elected to the AEA Executive, while a case of sexual harassment was pending against him. IIII was elected AEA President in an uncontested election, even as Asian economists were concerned about his views toward them.  It should surprise no one that IIII’s work as a paid consultant for Harvard upset our Asian colleagues. IIII argued that systematically subjective ratings on ‘soft skills’ justified Harvard not admitting Asians with higher test scores and grades. Asian economists have long complained others ding their technically solid work for not being creative. IIII will assume the leadership of the AEA in January. I am not here to judge, but I do think a conversation is necessary.
  • Elites tolerate the bad behavior of other elites. The reverence toward JJJJ exemplifies my claim. During his entire career, JJJJ has attacked others who disagree with him. He is a Clark Medalist and a high-ranking former economic official.  [Redacted.] In 2005, JJJJ delivered remarks at NBER Conference on Diversifying the Science & Engineering Workforce. One hypothesis he offered for fewer women faculty in the sciences was “different availability of aptitude at the high end.” Some men economists counter, “JJJJ was only “asking questions” about women’s IQ. Anyone who is a researcher knows that the questions we ask reflect our priors and interests. I was a Ph.D. student at the time. I did not attend the lecture, but I heard about it. I cannot imagine how the women in the room felt. I felt awful when I read it. [Redacted.]
  • JJJJ continues to demean women in economics. [Some of the following were redacted.] I had a woman economist come to me about an offhand comment JJJJ made to her; he had questioned whether economics was for her. I told her it absolutely is for her. Why am I picking up the pieces of others’ hurtful words? [I doubt that JJJJ meant to be so hurtful, and I doubt he even remembers saying it to her. People in positions of power should consider how their words may negatively affect those with less power.]

Economics promotes elitism over science

  • Leaders of the economics profession, including AEA Execute, Nobel Laureates, and Clark Medalists, almost exclusively hold degrees from top universities. They have top publications. They are Fed Chairs, Council of Economic Advisers Chairs, and Treasury Secretaries. They have huge public platforms. Many elites argue that they earned their status to some extent, that is true. They worked hard. In many cases, their research is top-notch. Even so, they won the lottery when admitted to a top program. Some won the lottery earlier and were born into prestigious economic families. From the start of their education, they were taught the methods, and the research questions that the leaders in the discipline thought were worthy of inquiry. Their outcomes partially reflect their privileged start in economics. It is inexcusable that AEA Executive does not reflect the diversity of its members. It is inexcusable that faculty from liberal arts colleges and state schools have never led the AEA. It is inexcusable that economists with other methodological approaches have not led. Elitism suppresses diversity and inclusion. That undermines our science.
  • Elites defend their status. On Twitter, I criticized KKKK’s claims in a Financial Times article in May, “Why inflation might follow the pandemic?” I said that I disagreed with his ‘what if’ inflation scenarios and said they were badly timed. KKKK asked me privately why I was criticizing him. I explained. It was a professional conversation. Two well-respected macroeconomists told me to lay off KKKK. This incident is an example of how elites protect other elites. I told KKKK about the scoldings. He told me to “go after the right targets,” not him. I should be allowed to argue on economic merits, regardless of the other person. I will continue to. [Redacted.]

Economists hurt people outside economics with bad policy advice

  • The toxic culture of economics reduces the quality of our economic policy advice. As a personal example: in early 2008, I talked with a peer about the staff’s assumptions on spending from the rebates. He was the briefer in a staff presentation to the Board, and I was the consumer spending analyst. The briefing text did not accurately convey our staff’s views on the rebates, and I was talking with him about how to adjust his text. My tormentor walked in and said to him, “Don’t listen to her. She does not know what she is talking about.” I was speechless and hurt. I left the office. My peer repeated the incorrect description of the staff view at the briefing. They teach staff economists not to stand up in the Board room and contradict a colleague. I sat quietly. I was demoralized. Not only did the officer undermine my credibility, but my peer also listened, and the Board was given incorrect information.
  • As a bigger example, national media is now covering racism in economics. Nearly all Black economists who study racism have had their research marginalized and rejected from top journals. Instead, during the mass protests, we had EEEE, the head editor at a top 5 research journal, sharing his racist views [in my view] on Twitter and his blog. It is painfully obvious why the leaders in the economics profession do not have anything intelligent about race and the economy. It matters for large groups of people. Black unemployment is always, in good times and bad, nearly twice the White unemployment rate. We did not learn that in my macro or labor field courses. We did not teach that in Intermediate Macro. If we do not know the facts, if we do not ask the questions, then how will we offer good policy advice. Amara Omeokwe at the Wall Street Journal wrote, “Economics Journals Faulted for Neglecting Studies on Race and Discrimination.” She details the barriers that Black economists face to publishing their work. It is 2020, and our Black colleagues must still explain why their research is top-notch?
  • The damage in economics is on full display in the Covid-19 crisis. From bad economic policy advice to counterproductive infighting, economics is failing the American people.  Elites shut down debate. An example is in LLLL’s “Will We Flunk Pandemic Economics?” in early April.
    • “What should we be doing? Serious economists have already reached a rough consensus over the appropriate policy response to a pandemic. The bottom line is that this isn’t a conventional recession, which calls for broad-based economic stimulus.”
    • Who are the “serious economists?” LLLL links to KKKK and MMMM. Many agreed with their views on the economy and policy responses; however, reasonable people like me disagreed with them. However, when elites define who is a “serious economist” and who is not, they suppress debate. [Redacted.]
  • Secondly, many economists are tone deaf to the crisis. A well-respected economist was asked about the model at a virtual macro seminar early in the crisis. He replied, “deaths from the coronavirus are changes in the stock of people in my model.” Yes, that is a literal math reading, but we were in a raging pandemic. His seminar was live-streamed and public. None of the macro men on the screen batted an eye.
  • Finally, economists blur the line between research and politics. Last month, NNNN left the Trump Council Economic Advisers. [Redacted.] I and many others have criticized the economic analysis from CEA during this crisis. That said, I respect anyone who serves in the government. In this time of crisis, we especially need good economists at CEA. After the news broke that NNNN was leaving, many elite, left-of-center economists attacked him. Some even questioned his character in public. [Redacted.] My comeback to the critics was to ask if they had volunteered to serve at the Trump CEA. I and other former CEA economists have been helping CEA since the crisis began. The vocal critics have not. The world is burning. How could you not add your expertise?

Recent AEA efforts cause pain and burden women and minority men economists

  • A reckoning over gender in economics began in August 2017, when Justin Wolfers wrote “Evidence of a Toxic Environment for Women in Economics” about Alice Wu’s research in the New York Times. Wu’s paper, “Gender Bias in Rumors Among Professionals: An Identity-based Interpretation,” was her undergraduate thesis at Berkeley. She documented the misogynistic, racist, homophobic comments about economists on the anonymous forum, Economic Job Market Rumors. EJMR began when I was on the job market in 2007. Economists have been told since then to ignore the website, even as economists were viciously attacked, in at least one case, stalked at a conference. Nonetheless, most job market candidates visit the EJMR Job Wiki to get non-public information on the hiring status. Some advisers encourage their students to check it. EJMR is not the source of our toxic culture is a symptom of it.
  • After the article on Wu’s research, economists demanded that the AEA address the horrible behavior on EJMR and in the profession. The AEA acted. We now have the AEA Code of Professional Conduct; Policy on Harassment and Discrimination; Ombudsperson; Committee on Equity, Diversity, and Professional Conduct; our first Climate Survey; EconSpark (a substitute for the EJMR forum); and EconTrack (a substitute for EJMR Job Wiki). I appreciate these efforts. Unfortunately, their implementation was uneven. Poor implementation hurts victims again and discourages economists from coming forward.
  • After the AEA created EconSpark, Executive Committee members started conversations. They tried to draw economists to the new site and away from EJMR. It did not work. The site is used infrequently. It did not become a substitute for EJMR. Instead of asking why and trying a new approach, the AEA seems to have abandoned the effort.
  • Another well-intentioned effort was AEA EconTrack. The idea is to have departments register and log their job market status on the website. Job candidates can check this verified information instead of the crowd-sourced, anonymous information on EJMR. Again, the implementation fell short. Early this year, I began emailing departments whose hiring information was on EJMR but not EconTrack. I showed them the information on EJMR. I asked them to consider posting on EconTrack. I contacted over 20 departments, and about half joined EconTrack. I doubled the number of departments on EconTrack. Getting departments to join EconTrack was not my job. It took time, and a few chairs asked why I was contacting them, not the AEA. Good question. I did it for the job candidates. Even with my efforts, many more departments were on EJMR’s Job Wiki than EconTrack.
  • Finally, the process to file a harassment and discrimination complaint was not ready to launch last year. I filed the first complaint in the summer of 2019. It was on behalf of a man economist who had been viciously harassed on EJMR for years. After I sent in my formal complaint, OOOO told me it “would not stand up in a court of law.” I do not see anything in the AEA policy about going to court. I retracted my complaint.  I got EJMR to remove the thread that included a death threat against him. Later, I was met with skepticism when I sent screenshots of an attack on a Black woman economist. I did not feel like OOOO understood the gravity of the thread. [Redacted. The attack on EJMR had lasting professional consequences for the woman.] After the second discouraging interaction with OOOO, I no longer recommend people file complaints. I will not again. The AEA is working to improve the system. Next time AEA, wait until you have a process that works. You are hurting victims. It is not OOOO’s fault. It is a bad process that the AEA put in place. We must do better.

In closing, thank you for the opportunity to share my reflections on economics. I will continue to mentor and support others. Our future is so bright. I cannot undo the hurt that economics causes. I am tired. Efforts to change our culture are cheap talk if we do not act. Instead of a victory lap, we should be ashamed of the lack of progress and the sloppy implementation. Until we make progress, I will no longer identify as a member of the American Economics Association or the economics profession. Congrats.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Addendum: Not surprisingly, I am the only individual who has been punished professionally for my blog post. I did not write it to advance my career; I wrote it to advance the careers of others who experience mistreatment and abuse. Above all, I wrote it for the students. Our future is bright, even if our present is not.

what’s on my mind … Feb 17

The past weeks have been a exciting ride. On my mind today: #FedWeek in Congress, Community Reinvestment Act, and our next generation of economists.

Congress Created the Fed and Holds it Accountable

Chair Powell testified on Tuesday before the House Financial Services and Wednesday before Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs. Congress require testimony from the Fed Chair twice a year. Senators Hubert Humphrey and Augustus Hawkins led in establishing this practice in 1978. The Fed also submits a Monetary Policy Report to Congress. Why does this matter? The officials at the Federal Reserve are not elected by a popular vote, and yet they have an important role in the economy. The Federal Reserve is independent from Congress and the Administration, in that they do not take orders on how to conduct policy. Even so, they are accountable to the elected members of Congress. The arrangement is not perfect, but it’s basically the best of all other options.

If you have time to watch only one snippet from the hearings, listen to the exchange between Representative Ayanna Pressley and Chair Powell. You will hear more from me at Equitable Growth on all of Representative Pressley’s questions and his answers. In the meantime, read up on Coretta Scott King’s pivotal role in creating the full employment mandate. I bet Chair Powell has been studying it too since the hearing.

#FedWeek ended with a bang on Thursday. Senate Banking held the confirmation hearing of Judy Shelton and Chris Waller. The Senate’s role in confirming Fed Governors is a another crucial way to hold the Fed accountable. Please watch this hearing from start to finish. I live tweeted the hearing here. See also my reaction in Brendan Greeley‘s article for The Financial Times:

FT_confirm

Community Reinvestment Act: Its Matters

Monetary policy is not the only responsibility that the Federal Reserve has. Bank oversight is another key responsibility. Last week I wrote a piece at Equitable Growth, “Encouraging banks to serve the credit needs of everyone,” about the Community Reinvestment Act. I give a brief overview of the reason for the legislation. Its main goal was to address an ugly history of banks discriminating against black families through the 1960s. I discuss the current proposal from Joseph Otting, the Comptroller of the Currency to change the way the oversight is done. Above all, I argue that the work is not complete, as one can see in the large disparities in the wealth of black and white households today.

wealth

My chart caused a stir on the Twitter. Racists, men economists, and others told me I was sending the wrong message. Several men economists claimed that my chart was “sensationalist,” since I did not show wealth per capital. Whites population is six times black population. If you take than into account, on average, white have 3.5 times the wealth of blacks.  I was told “20 > 3.5.” Seriously? I have a Ph.D. in economics, in addition, to the fact that I finished elementary school. But I digress.

I showed wealth totals by race for A GOOD REASON. I read Professor Mehrsa Baradaran’s book, The Color of Money, in one weekend last spring. It was compelling and horrifying. I learned from her that blacks were almost entirely kept out of the banking system in the United States for decades and decades. In response, blacks created their own banks. Unfortunately to have a viable banking system, you have to have deposits to lend out. Discrimination in all aspects of their lives meant that blacks had too little in savings to make black banks flourish. Black banks then failed at a much higher rate than other banks, leading to destruction of the little savings they had.

To be generous to my ‘chartsplainers,’ I did not know the heartbreaking history of black banks until I read Professor Baradaran’s book. Live and learn. I too have much to learn too. After tweeting, in particular about the need for reparations, Professor Sandy Darity graciously offered to talk with me about the details of his proposal. Details matter, as does rectifying the injustices evident in the racial wealth gap today.

 

Diversity and Inclusion in Economics

I am dedicated to a more diverse and inclusive economics profession. It is equitable. It will also help us understand the world around us and give better policy advice. My world view has widen so much from reading research from and conversation with economists of color, especially women of color. Damn, they have so much to teach the rest of us. I get tougher (and better) questions from them than macroeconomist men.

Highlight of  last week: I talked with Rahma Ahmed and Chinemelu Okafor, two early-career black women economists who have founded Research in Color. They have paired 15 early-career black women with mentors. The mentees are doing independent research projects that they will present at a conference this summer. Research in Color is also committed to giving funds to each mentee for their applications to graduate school and travel expenses. It costs money to even apply to graduate school and it’s bad for economics to lose future researchers due to a few hundred dollars. DONATE here.

Highlight of this week: The second annual Sadie Collective conference for young black women is almost here!! I have been in awe of this group since the start. Co-founders Anna Gifty Opoku-Agyeman and Fanta Traore are a force of nature. You can listen to them on this episode of the St. Louis Fed’s Women in Economics podcast. I had the privilege of working with the scholars on who will share their research at a poster session on Thursday night.  You can support then financially here.

When I get discouraged about the economics profession and how it treats people, I think of the next generation of researchers. They are fighting so hard. They should not have to. I should not have to. But hey, we are making a difference. The economics and the many people who economics affects are better for it.

what’s on my mind … Feb 1

This week I wrote my first Value Added blog post at Equitable Growth  My conversation with Matt Yglesias on *The Weeds* is out. My campaign with economists wages on.

I feel deeply that economics affects everyone. 2008 was my first year as a macroeconomist at the Federal Reserve. It did not take long to shake the theories from grad school out of me. In the moment, I tried to do the best I could. We all did. After the crisis, and even today, I have so many questions. Here are three from this week.

Why Americans need to know more about the Federal Reserve

I want to widen the conversation around the Federal Reserve beyond economists, financial analysts, and market commentators. Even so, if people don’t know what the Federal Reserve does, why would they care?  My post kicks off this effort.

If in the Great Recession, you, a family member, or a friend lost their job, home, or business, I don’t need to tell you how damaging the recession and slow recovery were. Research backs you up. Losing a job creates immense strain on workers and their families at the time and has negative effects for years thereafter. Even if you were spared such losses, the widespread hit to the economy likely had negative effects for you too. Average raises have been meager, wealth remains below its pre-recession level for many households, and, with less financial support from their families, students often took out more college loans.

Now, let’s talk about policy. The Federal Reserve did act swiftly during the Great Recession, pushing the federal funds rate to zero. It acted as lender of last resort to keep financial markets going. It created new tools to support the economy. One can make the case that since the recession, it has done more than any other policymakers. One can also make the case that it missed the signs of the coming financial crisis in the early to mid-2000s and that it used the political capital it had to save Wall Street. Everyone in the country needs banks and financial institutions. Most Americans need jobs too. Here, the Federal Reserve fell short. It did not react with the same commitment to Main Street as Wall Street.

I have a lot more to say AND LEARN about the Federal Reserve. As one example, I am fascinated with the history of the Fed’s full employment mandate. I  have been reading, *The Political Failure of Employment Policy.* Matt Boesler recommended that book and wrote an excellent piece on full employment this week.

 

Fix recessions by giving people money

Yeah! I am on *The Weeds* this week.

Weeds

I am thrilled to have so many opportunities to share my ideas about fighting the next recession.  I want to share them widely. Among podcasts, I have been on Macro Musings, The Indicator, and now Odd Lots. Matt mentioned that it took a while to get me on his show. I absolutely loved being a Fed economist, but to have a distinct (quotable, recordable) voice I had to leave. It is a huge relief that folks want to hear what I have to say. It is a also blessing how much I have learned from these conversations.

PS My proposal of direct payments to individuals is in the *Recession Ready* volume, along with many other smart ways to fight recessions.

 

Helping economists make economics better

I started my macromom blog over two years ago when an undergraduate economics major wrote her thesis and told the profession what they already knew. But had refused to accept. Economics is not diverse and it is not inclusive. DUH. What I had also learned by that point is that a toxic environment hurts people and it hurts the work.

I celebrate all the people who ask me how to make a recession less painful. I also remember this exchange from 2008 (in my first blog post). I had tried to to explain how the 2008 stimulus payments would affect consumer spending.

2008 – said to me, or rather to the person I was trying to explain a forecast detail to by his supervisor …

“Don’t listen to her. She doesn’t know what she is talking about.”

tl;dr led to crappy answer in the boardroom (bad form for me to correct a colleague there, so I was silent) the work suffered not just my self esteem.

He was WRONG. I DO know what I am talking about. So do many other women and men who were shut up and kept out.

If you watch me on Twitter, read this blog, or know me in person, you must have noticed that I try MANY ways to push economists to be better stewards of the profession. In recent weeks, I have emailed department chairs and my friends at there to ask them to participate in EconTrack. Here are the institutions with the names of their flyout candidates on EconTrack now. YEAH!

EconTrack_02022020

I am fully aware that my EconTrack outreach was odd. I am not in leadership at the American Economics Association. I am a member and I am DEEPLY concerned about another online forum that is currently one-stop-shop for hiring information,. It is anonymously sourced and (surprise, surprise) the information is often incorrect. In addition, the main site is toxic and has posts from anonymous economists. It has existed since I was on the job market 12 years ago. Ignoring it has not made it go away. It is my mission to make sure this year is its LAST YEAR. My EconTrack outreach is the first step in my plan. This toxic online forum is a symptom of much larger disease in the economic profession. Exclusion and ill treatment has been a part of our culture for hundreds of years. I’m m creative and stubborn. I trained on fighting the Borg for 12 years. I can do this, only with support. Support is growing and among people I never expected.

I will be honest. Some days advocating for more diversity and inclusion in economics are discouraging. Bad  days are when I see vicious attacks on EJMR, a recent one was calling a black women economist a” monkey.” Worst days are when people who contact me directly with cruelty offline by their colleagues. Thank goodness I had manager training at the Board AND I am blessed with amazing  mentors and colleagues. Dude in the quote above is among handful of bad actors at the Board, though sadly now a high-up officer. I do worry that my actions at times make things worse. I struggled as I read John Cochrane’s blog post this week. I try reflect when my first reaction is to argue with. Passion is fine, aggression is not, for me. I keep asking questions.

you can do it …

My #macromom post today has two purposes: first, to encourage candidates on the job market and second, to alert you to many funding opportunities for doctoral, post-doctoral, and early-career scholars. We all need support and it comes in many forms.

Job Market Zen

Everyone’s experience on the job market. I had a friend who got an offer right away from his dream school. The rest of his flyouts were super low stress. Mine was not. I didn’t get an offer from the one school in Ohio that would have allowed me not to move my family (again). The academic offered I wanted to accept was in a place with too few options for my non-economist husband at the time. So to DC we went. It was not all sunshine and roses. It worked out and I love being an economist. Looking back I realize how blessed I was with an excellent adviser and support all around me. I want to share some of those wise words with you.

  • “The quality of your research is orthogonal to the quality of your person.” John DiNardo #RIP. You will have to work at both. We all do, and no one is perfect.
  • Economists have many options. You may not get offer you are aiming for. The job you accept may not be the best. You need one job and it’s not a lifetime contract. See Danielle Sandler’s reflection on her journey.
  • The job you are offered is the best job, until you get a second offer. Then you can pick apart the pluses and minuses of those offers. What other get is irrelevant.
  • You MUST take care of yourself. The job market exhausting both physically and mentally. You have worked years on your paper. It’s hard to have it critiqued, especially by people who have remedial social skills.
  • You’re the cutting edge of the economics profession. Do NOT let anyone tell you otherwise. Best not to tell them to eff off (out loud) but know you’re AMAZING.
  • You new colleagues are lucky to have you join them. Colleagues here extends well beyond those individuals who will sit down the hall from you.
  • Be KIND to yourself and everyone around you. It helps.

 

Funding and Fellowships

Believe it or not your job search will end. Your research career has only begun. Moving the frontier of our knowledge takes time and money. Here some opportunities to get more financial resources. My list is not exhaustive. Contact the sources, if you have any questions. Many of the deadlines are in FEBRUARY so do not delay.

If you are interested and you meet the minimum criteria, you should apply. You cannot get it, if you do not apply. Casting a wide net is good strategy. You can do it.

Several Host Institutions

Deadline: February 1, 2020.

AEA Summer Economic Research Fellows

Sponsored by American Economics Association and National Science Foundation

Paid-in-residence in summer at participating institution.

Eligible: senior graduate students and early-career faculty.

 

Mercatus Center

Deadline: February 1, 2020.

Dissertation Fellowship

One-year, renewable fellowship

Eligible: advanced doctoral students, targeted for George Mason students but others welcome to apply. Fields other than economics.

 

Washington Center for Equitable Growth

Deadline: February 2, 2020.

Doctoral/Post-Doctoral Research Grants

Grant for research costs (up to $10,000).

Eligible: doctoral and post-doctoral scholars in social sciences at a U.S. university.

Dissertation Scholars

Annualized $50,000 stipend, office space support at Equitable Growth, professional support.

Eligible: pre-dissertation scholars enrolled in Ph.D program in social sciences at a U.S. university. Opportunity is NOT limited to economists.

 

Federal Reserve Board

Deadline: February 15, 2020.

Dissertation Fellow

Paid in-residence 12-to-15-week fellowships to conduct research at the Board in Washington, DC.

Eligible: graduate Ph.D. students in economics and finance.

 

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Deadline: March 15, 2020

Dissertation Fellows

Paid in-residence 6-to-8-week fellowships to conduct dissertation research.

Eligible: graduate Ph.D. students in economics and finance.

 

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

Deadline: March 15, 2020

Dissertation Fellows

Paid in-residence 8-to-12-week summer/fall fellowships to conduct dissertation research.

Eligible: graduate Ph.D. students, preference in economics and finance.

 

Several Other Federal Reserve Banks

Deadlines: Vary

Opportunities and Eligibility Vary

 

Other Funding Opportunities for Economists 

Deadlines: Vary

Opportunities and Eligibility Vary

 

If you know of more programs, please comment on my post and I will add them.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

paint me a picture

Sadie Collective will have their second conference “Vision 20/20: Restore, Revive, Reclaim” for black women interested in economics and related fields. If you do not know the inspiring leaders of this group, please read here about them.

I have had the privilege of working with the early-career scholars who will share their research at a poster session during the conference.

Below are tips that I gave them on making research posters.

Advice on Research Posters

1) Know your message.

Above all else, your poster must convey the message of your research. To do so, you must know your message! Start by answering these five questions: 

  • What is the motivation for your research project? Why should anyone else care?
  • What is your research question? Be specific. Tell us the aim of your project.
  • How do you answer your question? Your methods? Data, estimation, etc.
  • What are your findings? Start with your most important finding.
  • How would you extend your research in the future?

Note: answers to these questions should appear in your abstract and be the central part of your conversations at the poster session. This step takes time for everyone. Get feedback.

 

2) Sketch your poster on paper. Try different arrangements. This is YOUR poster. 

Posters allow you to visually share your research. Visuals are also important in seminar presentations. Instead of slides you have a large board to share your research. Have fun. Here are some ideas: 

  • Pictures are an excellent way to motivate your research and draw individuals to your poster.
  • Have a chart that shows your main research finding. See my blogpost for tips on charts.
  • You can use tables. Charts are better than tables, but tables can be useful.
  • Draft your points and EDIT them. Short phrases are better than sentences.
  • Blank space is your friend. People can only process so much information. You want them to listen to you talk ad not to stare at your poster to read it.
  • Use as large a font as possible. Make charts as large as possible.

 

3) Give yourself TIME to plan and make your poster.

 Thinking about how you want to present your research takes time for everyone. 

  • Do NOT wait until two days before the deadline to start. You need at least a week.
  • Proofread, proofread. Avoid typos, missing axis label, etc.
  • Have a friend review the messages on your poster.
  • Practice OUT LOUD the five-minute talk about each aspect of your poster. The poster and your words need to work together.
  • Your poster will NOT perfect. It must be DONE. Do not let the perfect be the enemy of the good.

These are good principles to apply to all stages of your research. You need to learn when to stop running regressions or trying to make one more new argument. Likewise, you need to send your paper out for review. You cannot teach others if you do not share what you have learned.

 

Other Resources

If this poster is your first one, use these resources below sparingly. Doing must take precedence over reading. That said, you can find inspiration in these resources. Inspiration is fun. Thanks to everyone who replied to my #EconAdvice tweet.

  • Better Posters blog: lots of great advice here and a forthcoming book.
  • Population Association of America: guidelines for posters at their annual conference. This page has links to recent poster winners. Click through to see photos of the posters.
  • Agricultural and Applied Economics Association: guidelines for posters at their annual meeting, as well examples of posters.
  • Inside Higher Ed: webpage, including as video, on how to make a better poster.
  • Karl Muth: advice from Twitter.
  • Elena Falcettoni: advice from Twitter.
  • London School of Economics and Political Science: webpage on how to design a poster.
  • Brent Thorne: Github page on making a poster in R.

 

If you have more advice on posters, please leave a comment. Thanks!

let’s talk …

Communication is FUNDAMENTAL to good research.

Communication in writing, visualizing, and speaking deserves as much effort as your analysis. The ‘there’ there, such as, getting your model to converge and using the best identification possible is necessary but not sufficient for a kick-ass paper.

PS: For money/macro folks, I will amp up the need.  We’ve got forward guidance now (wow, poor words can eff things up) and abstract technical advice isn’t accepted by policy makers or citizens (amen, we economists aren’t primary ones on the receiving end).

Good ideas do not rise to the top on their own, nor do bad ones automatically fall.

I wrote this post for doctoral candidates in economics, finishing up their job market papers. Your papers are going to get you a job (remember you only need one, so take a deep breath and stay OFF ‘that’ website). Equally important, you will meet many researchers on the job market who you will see time and again. They are important to your intellectual long run, even if you never work down the hall.

My post starts with general advice on 1) communication, 2) writing, and on 3) charts and tables. I then turn to specific advice for job market candidates. My tips are ones that ‘I think’ are most important. My list is not exhaustive.  You need to be writing and editing and editing and editing (and sleeping and taking care of yourself), not reading blogs.

GENERAL COMMUNICATION

  • Know your audience. Respect them by talking WITH them in a way THEY can understand. When your audience changes, you must change your approach.
  • Simple is hard but simple is better. Say what you need to say and no more.
  • Tell us the punchline not your slog to it. Do NOT share your thought process (don’t want to be in your head) or down the yellow brick road to your results.

GENERAL WRITING

  • Your abstract and introduction are the most important parts of your paper. If you put readers to sleep or piss them off, you’ve done yourself a disservice.
  • A good structure for an introduction (a modified modified version of Keith Head’s):
    • Motivation. The motivation must appeal to a general audience. Why the eff should I read your paper? And no, a delta on a prior paper, ain’t gonna cut it.
    • Research Question. EVERY paper must clearly state the research question it will ANSWER. “This paper answers the question … ” is a great sentence.
    • Contribution. What are you adding to our body of knowledge? Be wary of tossing “first” around casually. We stand on shoulders of those who came before. Don’t piss them off or they may throw you, Yertle-the-Turtle style.
    • Methods. How did you do it? What are the amazing things that you did to get your amazing results. Don’t go overboard but assure us you know your shit.
    • Results. What did you find? Most important results go first. Do not ‘build suspense’ with intermediate findings.
    • Robustness. Pointless reality, in my opinion, in our papers now. Even so, make clear that you have stress tested your main results.
  • Your abstract and introduction must be able to stand alone and convey the message of your paper. Have multiple people, including some family and friends who are not economists, read them. Avoid the offensive and the inscrutable.

GENERAL CHARTS AND TABLES

  • Charts and tables must be able to stand alone. Some people will read them and nothing other than your abstract and introduction.
  • Have a “money chart” that makes your main finding pop. Most people think well in pictures and you want to be memorable (in a good way).
  • Print your paper in black and white. Charts must not require on a color printer.

JOB MARKET COMMUNICATION

  • Your audience will NOT all be experts in your field. At some interviews, they may not even all be economists. Guess, what? They have a say on whether you’ll be a future colleague. Talk to everyone in the room not just that person you cited.
  • Be kind to the ‘old people,’ that is, anyone more than three years out of grad school. Do NOT be obnoxious about it, by calling attention to what we don’t know. You’ll learn a ton from us too.
  • PRACTICE out loud over and over again. Timing matters. Get to YOUR RESULTS. Move briskly through literature and only cover papers relevant to YOUR paper.

JOB MARKET WRITING

  • Did you need to say everything you said and did you miss anything? Check that each paragraph has a topic sentence (ideally the first). If you string all of these together: is the flow choppy, any super-hero leaps, or repeats? Fix it.
  • Compact, strong writing is a godsend. I love reading cool research papers from the next generation, but even my heart sinks when I print out 20 job market papers averaging 70+ pages. Efficient writing takes effort and it’s worth it.
  • Do not be wishy washy. If you do not believe in your research NO ONE will. Don’t get ahead of your skis, but don’t apologize for what you couldn’t do. Every data set is flawed. Every identification strategy hinges on some suspension of disbelief. Finally, your first paper, happily, will not be your best one. Be proud.

JOB MARKET CHARTS AND TABLES

  • Charts and tables must be able to stand alone. I repeat: Some people will read them and nothing other than your abstract and introduction. More likely on job market (many papers to read) than at journals (if not, shame on your lazy referee).
  • Invest time in making your charts compelling. And for the love of god, no canned Stata or R charts. In addition, don’t make me get out my magnifying glass.
  • Tables should be not be a sea of numbers. Use scaling, like thousands of employees or billions of dollars. Show point estimates that matter and not every kitchen-sink covariate. False precision is annoying. Don’t annoy people.

 

Happy writing!

I can’t wait to read your interesting papers. We have so much to learn from you.

 

 

out of the weeds …

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sharing a concern is the first step. it’s natural to disagree on the next and some may want to step back. fine, even macro folks get that the Representative Agent is a simplification, not a reality.

my last post was more feeling than fact. but I study economic beliefs (ab, c) enough to not apologize for being subjective. even so, it’s hard to explain why I was disappointed by Blanchard or hurt by silly comments. not sure but I don’t feel the need to justify myself or ask you to agree.

I’m more focused what might make things a little better. I got many kind comments in the past week even a thank-you note in the mail! I will never turn down happy but I wrote my post from a good place. I capped off ten years of policy work last Friday, am starting as a section chief on Monday, plus lots of good life stuff.

so why then such a gloomy post? I think our words and culture matter for the quality of our work … and it’s going to take a real effort to move us out of this bad equilibrium. pretty sure each of my quotables in my last post could give me back something much worse said to them. and those are men. I cringe when I hear the stories from senior women in econ (okay and from some junior women) and from people of color. come on folks, this is not okay and it’s hurting the economics. caring should not be an occupational hazard.

on the happy flip side, words matter so we can all do something. I was fortunate to have heard many positives, from folks who believed in teaching and encouraging me. and were funny and good hearted. often the support came in the form of a “you can do better” and was wrapped in lots (and lots) of editing. so many ways to build up an economist and the new ones need it most.

but it’s more than words, in my opinion. a culture of bullying and aggression doesn’t just happen. we can all be jerks but when bad behavior and excess stress are tolerated (and in some cases celebrated), this culture spreads like a weed. if we’re not careful our weeds will choke out the good stuff.

PS I was unpacking some boxes recently and came across this letter … made me smile, Joan Robinson. as I said, lots of ways to encourage the next generation.